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Research ArticleTheranostics

Parameters to Predict Progression-Free and Overall Survival After Peptide Receptor Radionuclide Therapy: A Multivariate Analysis in 782 Patients

Else A. Aalbersberg, Daphne M.V. Huizing, Iris Walraven, Berlinda J. de Wit-van der Veen, Harshad R. Kulkarni, Aviral Singh, Marcel P.M. Stokkel and Richard P. Baum
Journal of Nuclear Medicine September 2019, 60 (9) 1259-1265; DOI: https://doi.org/10.2967/jnumed.118.224386
Else A. Aalbersberg
1Department of Nuclear Medicine, ENETS Centre of Excellence, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
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Daphne M.V. Huizing
1Department of Nuclear Medicine, ENETS Centre of Excellence, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
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Iris Walraven
2Department of Radiation Oncology, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
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Berlinda J. de Wit-van der Veen
1Department of Nuclear Medicine, ENETS Centre of Excellence, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
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Harshad R. Kulkarni
3Theranostics Centre for Molecular Radiotherapy and Precision Oncology, ENETS Centre of Excellence, Zentralklinik Bad Berka, Bad Berka, Germany; and
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Aviral Singh
3Theranostics Centre for Molecular Radiotherapy and Precision Oncology, ENETS Centre of Excellence, Zentralklinik Bad Berka, Bad Berka, Germany; and
4GROW–School for Oncology and Developmental Biology, Maastricht University, Maastricht, The Netherlands
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Marcel P.M. Stokkel
1Department of Nuclear Medicine, ENETS Centre of Excellence, Netherlands Cancer Institute, Amsterdam, The Netherlands
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Richard P. Baum
3Theranostics Centre for Molecular Radiotherapy and Precision Oncology, ENETS Centre of Excellence, Zentralklinik Bad Berka, Bad Berka, Germany; and
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  • FIGURE 1.
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    FIGURE 1.

    Kaplan–Meier curves of PFS (A) and OS (B).

  • FIGURE 2.
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    FIGURE 2.

    Kaplan–Meier curves of OS after resection of primary tumor and OS per primary tumor location. Median OS is 43 and 65 mo without and with resection, respectively. Median OS is 67 mo for small-intestine NETs, 51 mo for large intestine, 41 mo for lung, 50 mo for pancreas, 59 mo for cancer of unknown primary (CUP), and 52 mo for other NETs.

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    FIGURE 3.

    Kaplan–Meier curves of OS per Ki-67 and CgA quartiles and performance status classes. Median OS is 74 mo for Ki-67 < 2%, 54 mo for 2%–5%, 56 mo for 5%–10%, and 32 mo for >10%. Median OS is 86 mo for CgA < 112, 61 mo for 112–336, 54 mo for 336–1,168, and 35 mo for >1,168. Median OS is 64 mo for WHO 0, 41 mo for WHO 1, and 37 mo for WHO 2/3.

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    TABLE 1

    Patient, Tumor, and Treatment Characteristics

    VariableCharacteristicData
    SexMale444 (56.8%)
    Female338 (43.2%)
    Age (y)60.3 ± 11.0 (22–83)
    Location of primary tumor (n = 782)Small intestine221 (28.3%)
    Large intestine42 (5.4%)
    Lung60 (7.7%)
    Pancreas277 (35.4%)
    Unknown primary106 (13.6%)
    Other76 (9.7%)
    Tumor grade (n = 570)Grade 1182 (31.9%)
    Grade 2345 (60.5%)
    Grade 343 (7.5%)
    Ki-67 (n = 503)Q1≤2%
    Q23%–5%
    Q36%–10%
    Q4>10%
    Functional tumor (n = 555)Yes280 (50.5%)
    No275 (49.5%)
    Performance status (n = 782)WHO 0547 (69.9%)
    WHO 1190 (24.3%)
    WHO 2–345 (5.8%)
    ComorbiditiesHypertension (n = 239)99 (41.4%)
    Diabetes (n = 782)46 (5.9%)
    Prior treatmentInterferon-α (n = 727)36 (5.0%)
    Chemotherapy (n = 727)159 (21.9%)
    Resection, primary tumor (n = 710)336 (47.3%)
    Ablation (n = 727)100 (13.8%)
    Radiotherapy (n = 727)35 (4.8%)
    Somatostatin analog (n = 727)297 (40.9%)
    Isotope (n = 782)177Lu295 (37.7%)
    90Y96 (12.3%)
    177Lu and 90Y391 (50.0%)
    PRRT administrations (n = 782)3395 (50.4%)
    4329 (42.1%)
    5–659 (7.5%)
    Cumulative activity (GBq) (n = 782)177Lu21.7 (13.3–36.7)
    90Y11.5 (4.8–23.6)
    177Lu and 90Y18.2 (5.0–33.7)
    Blood count (n = 782)Normal546 (69.8%)
    CgA (n = 661)Q1<112
    Q2112–333
    Q3336–1,168
    Q4>1,168
    Serotonin (n = 627)273 (10–14,200)
    eGFR (n = 778)81.2 (30.56–259.08)
    Creatinine (n = 778)75.0 (27–186)
    • Continuous data are mean ± SD followed by range. Categoric data are number followed by percentage. When variables are divided into quartiles, range of quartile is given. Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding.

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    TABLE 2

    PFS and OS per Primary Tumor Location

    PFS (mo)OS (mo)
    Primary tumor locationMedianIQRMedianIQR
    Small intestine2417–396736–111
    Large intestine2214–3351*24–68
    Lung18†14–2641*30–67
    Pancreas2316–3550*28–88
    Cancer of unknown primary2317–355936–104
    Other1914–315296–22
    Overall2216–355330–98
    • ↵* Significant in univariate analysis.

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    TABLE 3

    PFS Analysis

    UnivariateMultivariate
    ParameterGroupHR95% CIPHR95% CIP
    Ki-67Q1: <2%10.00210.044
    Q2: 2%–5%1.1650.898–1.5131.1710.880–1.557
    Q3: 5%–10%1.4661.111–1.9341.4191.041–1.935
    Q4: >10%1.6311.230–2.1631.4931.090–2.045
    ComorbiditiesDiabetes1.3730.989–1.9070.058†1.7061.117–2.6050.013
    Prior treatmentChemotherapy1.3621.123–1.6520.002†1.3751.039–1.8200.026
    Interferon-α1.4871.046–2.1140.0272.0541.211–3.4850.008
    CgA (μg/L)Q1: <1121<0.0011<0.001
    Q2: 112–3331.1890.932–1.5171.2670.922–1.741
    Q3: 336–1,1681.5801.241–2.0111.4691.084–1.992
    Q4: >1,1682.1481.679–2.7472.0391.488–2.794
    • HR > 1 indicates greater risk for disease progression compared with reference value (HR = 1).

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    TABLE 4

    Resection of Primary per Tumor Location

    Median OS (mo)Univariate Cox regression analysis
    Location of primaryResectedUnresectedHR95% CIP
    Small intestine77 (37–134)48 (32–90)0.6490.423–0.9950.047*
    Large intestine51 (28–∞)45 (24–61)0.6250.257–1.5220.301
    Lung51 (26–67)41 (31–45)0.7550.374–1.5220.432
    Pancreas65 (35–112)43 (24–69)0.5950.426–0.8320.002*
    Overall64 (32–112)47 (29–80)0.7150.584–0.8770.001*
    • ↵* Significant.

    • Data in parentheses are IQR.

    • View popup
    TABLE 5

    OS Analysis

    UnivariateMultivariate
    ParameterGroupHR95% CIPHR95% CIP
    Ki-67Q1: <2%10.00110.014
    Q2: 2%–5%1.3400.960–1.8711.3630.946–1.965
    Q3: 5%–10%1.5191.051–2.1941.2030.798–1.814
    Q4: >10%2.1431.488–3.0871.9301.285–2.899
    Performance statusWHO 01<0.00110.010
    WHO 11.7811.432–2.2141.5511.109–2.169
    WHO 2–32.8171.941–4.0892.3051.432–3.713
    Prior treatmentAblation1.4581.103–1.9280.0081.5191.041–2.2150.030
    Chemotherapy1.7921.434–2.239<0.0011.9791.412–2.773<0.001
    CgA (μg/L)Q1: <1121<0.0011<0.001
    Q2: 112–3361.5311.100–2.1311.6901.095–2.608
    Q3: 336–1,1681.8871.354–2.6311.8161.718–2.799
    Q4: >1,1683.3572.434–4.6312.6711.717–4.155
    • HR > 1 indicates greater risk for death of any cause and HR < 1 lower risk.

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Journal of Nuclear Medicine: 60 (9)
Journal of Nuclear Medicine
Vol. 60, Issue 9
September 1, 2019
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Parameters to Predict Progression-Free and Overall Survival After Peptide Receptor Radionuclide Therapy: A Multivariate Analysis in 782 Patients
Else A. Aalbersberg, Daphne M.V. Huizing, Iris Walraven, Berlinda J. de Wit-van der Veen, Harshad R. Kulkarni, Aviral Singh, Marcel P.M. Stokkel, Richard P. Baum
Journal of Nuclear Medicine Sep 2019, 60 (9) 1259-1265; DOI: 10.2967/jnumed.118.224386

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Parameters to Predict Progression-Free and Overall Survival After Peptide Receptor Radionuclide Therapy: A Multivariate Analysis in 782 Patients
Else A. Aalbersberg, Daphne M.V. Huizing, Iris Walraven, Berlinda J. de Wit-van der Veen, Harshad R. Kulkarni, Aviral Singh, Marcel P.M. Stokkel, Richard P. Baum
Journal of Nuclear Medicine Sep 2019, 60 (9) 1259-1265; DOI: 10.2967/jnumed.118.224386
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