Abstract
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Objectives: To investigate the role of pre-therapeutic anatomic versus functional imaging in predicting survival in patients undergoing transarterial radioembolization using Yttrium-90 (90Y-TARE) for unresectable HCC (uHCC).
Methods: We analyzed data of 55 patients of our prospective database (48 men; median age, 68.1; range, 24 - 87 years) undergoing 90Y-TARE treatment for uHCC (37 resin, 18 glass). All patients underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT and CT and/or MRI scans as part of a pre-therapeutic work-up. Patients did not receive any treatment between these imaging procedures and 90Y-TARE. Prognostic value of 18F-FDG PET/CT metabolic parameters (SUVmax, tumor-to-liver [T/L] uptake ratio, SUVmean of healthy liver) and anatomic MRI or CT data (number and size of lesions, portal-venous infiltration [PVI]) was assessed by Kaplan-Meier estimates of progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) and compared using the log-rank test. Furthermore the influence of relevant prognostic factors for HCC including Child-Pugh class, Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system, tumor size, PVI and serum AFP level compared to imaging on PFS and OS parameters was analyzed using COX multivariate analysis.
Results: Median follow-up in living patients was 17.5 months (mo) (range, 1-50.1 mo). Relapse occurred in 39 patients (71%) at a median of 7.4 mo (range, 1.4-27.9 mo) after 90Y-TARE. Fourty patients (73%) died from their disease at a median of 7.7 mo (range, 2.2-35.2 mo) and relapse occurred in 28 (70%) of them. The prognostic markers were: i) the mean SUVmax lesion with a median PFS of 10.2 mo (95% CI 6.6-13.8 mo) in patients with a cutoff value < 7.7 g/mL vs. 7.4 mo (95% CI 3-11.7 mo) in patients with a mean SUVmax lesion cutoff 蠅 7.7 g/mL (p=0.01) and ii) the T/L ratio with a median OS of 30.9 mo (95% CI 11.2-50.9 mo) in patients with a 1st quarter (Q1) cutoff value < 2.0 vs. 8.9 mo (95% CI 7.4-10.4) in patients with a Q1 cutoff value 蠅 2 (p=0.02). In multivariable analysis, only the cutoff value of the mean SUVmax lesion and the Q1 T/L ratio were significant independent predictors of PFS (p=0.01) and OS (p=0.04) respectively when testing with either Child-Pugh class, the BCLC staging system and the serum AFP level.
Conclusion: SUVmax lesion and T/L uptake ratio as assessed by 18F-FDG PET/CT, but not anatomic imaging were predictive markers of survival in patients undergoing 90Y-TARE for uHCC. Research Support: none