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Research ArticleClinical Investigation

MRI and 18F-FET PET for Multimodal Treatment Monitoring in Patients with Brain Metastases: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

Jurij Rosen, Jan-Michael Werner, Garry S. Ceccon, Elena K. Rosen, Michael M. Wollring, Isabelle Stetter, Philipp Lohmann, Felix M. Mottaghy, Gereon R. Fink, Karl-Josef Langen and Norbert Galldiks
Journal of Nuclear Medicine June 2024, 65 (6) 838-844; DOI: https://doi.org/10.2967/jnumed.123.266687
Jurij Rosen
1Department of Psychiatry, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany;
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Jan-Michael Werner
2Department of Neurology, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany;
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Garry S. Ceccon
2Department of Neurology, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany;
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Elena K. Rosen
2Department of Neurology, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany;
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Michael M. Wollring
2Department of Neurology, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany;
3Institute of Neuroscience and Medicine, Research Center Juelich, Juelich, Germany;
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Isabelle Stetter
2Department of Neurology, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany;
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Philipp Lohmann
3Institute of Neuroscience and Medicine, Research Center Juelich, Juelich, Germany;
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Felix M. Mottaghy
4Department of Nuclear Medicine, RWTH University Hospital Aachen, Aachen, Germany;
5Department of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, Maastricht University Medical Center, Maastricht, The Netherlands; and
6Center for Integrated Oncology, Aachen Bonn Cologne Duesseldorf, Germany
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Gereon R. Fink
2Department of Neurology, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany;
3Institute of Neuroscience and Medicine, Research Center Juelich, Juelich, Germany;
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Karl-Josef Langen
3Institute of Neuroscience and Medicine, Research Center Juelich, Juelich, Germany;
4Department of Nuclear Medicine, RWTH University Hospital Aachen, Aachen, Germany;
6Center for Integrated Oncology, Aachen Bonn Cologne Duesseldorf, Germany
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Norbert Galldiks
2Department of Neurology, Faculty of Medicine and University Hospital Cologne, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany;
3Institute of Neuroscience and Medicine, Research Center Juelich, Juelich, Germany;
6Center for Integrated Oncology, Aachen Bonn Cologne Duesseldorf, Germany
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  • FIGURE 1.
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    FIGURE 1.

    Model 1 (upper panel): Decision tree for assessing effectiveness of additional 18F-FET PET for differentiating treatment-related changes (TRC) from brain metastasis (BM) relapse after multimodal therapy. Twenty-seven patients underwent 18F-FET PET. N1 divides patients into those diagnosed with brain metastasis relapse or treatment-related changes according to 18F-FET PET criteria (i.e., mean tumor-to-brain ratio of more or less than 1.95, respectively). N2 and N3 assign both groups to patients’ outcomes based on both clinical course during subsequent follow-up and either neuropathologic diagnosis or Response Assessment in Neuro-Oncology criteria for immunotherapy. Model 2 (lower panel): Decision tree model for assessing effectiveness of 18F-FET PET and MRI to identify nonresponder to multimodal therapy based on stable clinical course for <6 mo. Eleven patients underwent serial 18F-FET PET and MRI. N1 and N2 represent chance nodes to be responder or nonresponder according to 18F-FET PET and MRI criteria (i.e., relative reduction or increase in mean tumor-to-background ratio of 10% for 18F-FET PET, respectively; Response Assessment in Neuro-Oncology criteria for immunotherapy for MRI). N3–N6 divide each of 4 groups of 18F-FET PET and MRI responders (and nonresponders) into true and false responders (and nonresponders), respectively.

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    FIGURE 2.

    Tornado diagrams of cost-effectiveness ratio of additional 18F-FET PET scans for identification of treatment-related changes (upper panel) and ICER of 18F-FET PET for identification of nonresponder (lower panel) after multimodal therapy. Cost-effectiveness ratios and ICERs were calculated by applying upper and lower interval values, as shown in Table 1, onto N1–N3 and N1–N6, respectively.

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    FIGURE 3.

    Distribution of results from Monte Carlo analysis (dots) about effectiveness of additional 18F-FET PET for identification of treatment-related changes (upper panel) and IE of 18F-FET PET for identification of nonresponder (lower panel) after multimodal therapy. Note different scaling of axes. Margin values for effectiveness (upper panel, values < 0.85 and > 1.0, 5.0% of values; lower panel, values < 0 and > 0.5, 7.4% of values) are not shown.

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    TABLE 1.

    Chance Node Intervals and Corresponding Effectiveness and CER in 1-Way Deterministic Sensitivity Analysis for Decision Tree Models 1 and 2

    Decision tree model 1 (identification of treatment-related changes)Decision tree model 2 (identification of nonresponder)
    Chance nodeParameterLower intervalUpper intervalLower intervalUpper interval
    N1Value (%)20.431.458.169.1
    Effectiveness (%)95.692.423.415.8
    CER (€)1,638.131,694.514,935.107,343.11
    N2Value (%)76.295.249.060.0
    Effectiveness (%)90.697.914.825.5
    CER (€)1,729.331,599.137,795.634,537.22
    N3Value (%)71.588.576.295.2
    Effectiveness (%)93.594.710.632.3
    CER (€)1,675.861,654.8210,906.403,585.31
    N4Value (%)91.5108.5*
    Effectiveness (%)NANA18.521.3*
    CER (€)6,240.625,439.00*
    N5Value (%)64.768.7
    Effectiveness (%)NANA21.418.5
    CER (€)5,405.246,246.08
    N6Value (%)58.062.0
    Effectiveness (%)NANA20.819.2
    CER (€)5,558.436,021.43
    • ↵* Theoretic result, because value for N4 is >100%.

    • NA = not applicable.

    • Effectiveness and CER were based on indicated chance node values. Decision tree model 1 comprises only N1–N3. Values for effectiveness and CER of decision tree model 2 correspond to incremental values (difference in 18F-FET PET and MRI).

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    TABLE 2.

    Input Variables Used in Monte Carlo Analysis

    Decision tree model 1 (identification of treatment-related changes)Decision tree model 2 (identification of nonresponder)
    Chance nodeCalculated value (%)SD (%)Calculated value (%)SD (%)
    N125.9563.65
    N285.7854.55
    N380.0885.78
    N4NANA100.08
    N5NANA66.78
    N6NANA60.08
    • NA = not applicable.

    • Calculated values for chance nodes were taken from decision tree models, and SDs were set similar to earlier study (5). Decision tree model 1 comprises only N1–N3.

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    TABLE 3.

    Statistics Resulting from Monte Carlo Analysis (10,000 Samples) for Effectiveness

    Decision tree model 1 (identification of treatment-related changes)Decision tree model 2 (identification of nonresponder)
    Value or percentile18F-FET PET (%)Cost for 18F-FET PET (€)MRI (%)18F-FET PET (%)IE (%)Difference in cost 18F-FET PET − MRI (€)
    Mean94.11,551.3960.180.720.61,146.03
    SD3.6777.798.210.3574.56
    Minimum76.789.0028.545.316.965.74
    2.5th86.3440.9244.261.617.4325.71
    10th89.5685.4649.568.318.8506.36
    Median94.41,420.0060.080.220.21,048.97
    90th98.42,585.2970.593.523.01,909.78
    97.5th100.5*3,441.5376.4102.7*26.3*2,542.28
    Maximum109.2*6,515.7998.5150.6*52.1*4,813.26
    • ↵* Theoretic result, because calculated value for effectiveness of 18F-FET PET is >100%.

    • Columns for decision tree model 1 indicate, first, probability of correctly detecting treatment-related changes after treatment with immune checkpoint inhibition, targeted therapy, radiotherapy, or combinations thereof by 18F-FET PET alone and, second, γ-distributed cost for 1 18F-FET PET scan. Columns for decision tree model 2 indicate probability of correctly detecting nonresponder to immune checkpoint inhibition, targeted therapy, radiotherapy, or combinations thereof by MRI or 18F-FET PET, respectively. Column IE indicates their difference and thus IE in using 18F-FET PET. Rightmost column indicates γ-distributed difference in cost between 2 serial 18F-FET PET and MRI scans.

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Journal of Nuclear Medicine: 65 (6)
Journal of Nuclear Medicine
Vol. 65, Issue 6
June 1, 2024
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MRI and 18F-FET PET for Multimodal Treatment Monitoring in Patients with Brain Metastases: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
Jurij Rosen, Jan-Michael Werner, Garry S. Ceccon, Elena K. Rosen, Michael M. Wollring, Isabelle Stetter, Philipp Lohmann, Felix M. Mottaghy, Gereon R. Fink, Karl-Josef Langen, Norbert Galldiks
Journal of Nuclear Medicine Jun 2024, 65 (6) 838-844; DOI: 10.2967/jnumed.123.266687

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MRI and 18F-FET PET for Multimodal Treatment Monitoring in Patients with Brain Metastases: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis
Jurij Rosen, Jan-Michael Werner, Garry S. Ceccon, Elena K. Rosen, Michael M. Wollring, Isabelle Stetter, Philipp Lohmann, Felix M. Mottaghy, Gereon R. Fink, Karl-Josef Langen, Norbert Galldiks
Journal of Nuclear Medicine Jun 2024, 65 (6) 838-844; DOI: 10.2967/jnumed.123.266687
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