The role of 18F-FDG PET/CT metabolic tumour volume in predicting survival in patients with metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma

Oral Oncol. 2013 Jan;49(1):71-8. doi: 10.1016/j.oraloncology.2012.07.016. Epub 2012 Sep 5.

Abstract

Objectives: To investigate the role of PET-derived imaging markers in predicting metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) outcomes.

Materials and methods: A total of 56 patients with metastatic NPC were enrolled. Before treatment, all of the participants underwent (18)F-FDG PET/CT. The following (18)F-FDG PET parameters were assessed: standardised uptake value, metabolic tumour volume (MTV), and total lesion glycolysis. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards models were used to identify the independent predictors of survival.

Results: The multivariate analysis showed that performance status>1 (P=0.007), Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) DNA titre>5000 copies/mL (P=0.001), and MTV>110 mL (P=0.013) were independent risk factors for progression-free survival (PFS). Male sex (P=0.004), performance status>1 (P<0.0001), EBV DNA level>5000 copies/mL (P<0.0001), and MTV>110 mL (P=0.003) independently predicted overall survival (OS). The 2-year PFS and OS rates of the patients with MTV≤110 mL were 23.2% and 43%, respectively, compared with 0% and 9.1%, respectively, for those with MTV>110 mL. Combining the MTV with the EBV DNA titre allowed further survival stratification by dividing the patients into three groups with distinct PFS (2-year rates=30.8%, 7.1%, and 0%, P<0.0001) and OS (2-year rates=68.4%, 40%, and 0%, P<0.0001) rates.

Conclusion: The MTV appears to be an independent risk factor in metastatic NPC patients. This factor is complementary to the EBV DNA titre for predicting survival in metastatic NPC.

Publication types

  • Comparative Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols / therapeutic use
  • Carcinoma / pathology
  • Carcinoma / secondary*
  • Carcinoma / virology
  • Chemotherapy, Adjuvant
  • DNA, Viral / analysis
  • Female
  • Fluorodeoxyglucose F18*
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Forecasting
  • Herpesvirus 4, Human / genetics
  • Herpesvirus 4, Human / isolation & purification
  • Humans
  • Image Processing, Computer-Assisted / methods
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Multimodal Imaging / methods*
  • Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms / pathology*
  • Nasopharyngeal Neoplasms / virology
  • Positron-Emission Tomography*
  • Prospective Studies
  • Radiopharmaceuticals*
  • Risk Factors
  • Sex Factors
  • Survival Rate
  • Tomography, X-Ray Computed*
  • Treatment Outcome
  • Viral Load

Substances

  • DNA, Viral
  • Radiopharmaceuticals
  • Fluorodeoxyglucose F18