TABLE 2

Univariate Predictors of Late Cardiac Events

PredictorHazard ratio (95% CI)
Cardiac deathCardiac death or MIRevascularizationAll cardiac events*
Clinical characteristics
 Age (per year)1.03 (1.01–1.05)1.01 (1.01–1.05)0.99 (0.98–1.00)1.01 (1.00–1.03)
 Age >70 y1.4 (0.8–2.7)1.4 (0.8–2.5)0.8 (0.4–1.7)1.2 (0.7–1.9)
 Male gender1.5 (0.9–2.7)2.0 (1.6–3.4)2.7 (1.4–5.4)2.3 (1.5–3.6)
 Previous MI1.6 (0.9–2.7)1.8 (1.1–2.8)2.4 (1.4–4.2)2.1 (1.4–3.2)
 Diabetes mellitus2.2 (1.2–3.9)2.0 (1.2–3.3)1.2 (0.6–2.4)1.7 (1.1–2.7)
 Hypertension1.3 (0.8–2.2)1.3 (0.8–2.1)0.8 (0.4–1.3)1.1 (0.8–1.7)
 Hypercholesterolemia0.7 (0.4–1.2)0.6 (0.4–1.0)1.4 (0.8–2.4)1.0 (0.6–1.4)
 Smoking2.0 (1.1–3.4)1.8 (1.1–3.0)2.1 (1.2–3.8)2.2 (1.4–3.3)
 Congestive heart failure4.4 (2.5–7.9)3.7 (2.2–6.3)0.6 (0.3–1.5)2.4 (1.5–3.8)
Stress test results
 Angina pectoris0.7 (0.4–1.5)1.0 (0.5–1.7)2.1 (1.1–3.8)1.2 (0.8–2.0)
 ST-segment changes1.0 (0.6–1.8)0.9 (0.6–1.6)0.8 (0.4–1.6)0.8 (0.5–1.3)
Scan parameters
 Abnormal scan8.2 (3.5–19.4)5.4 (2.8–10.1)4.0 (1.9–8.4)5.6 (3.3–9.5)
 Fixed defect2.7 (1.7–4.4)2.1 (1.4–3.1)1.2 (0.7–2.1)1.4 (1.1–1.8)
 Reversible defect2.0 (1.3–3.3)1.8 (1.2–2.7)3.0 (1.8–5.1)1.5 (1.2–1.8)
 SSS1.18 (1.09–1.27)1.19 (1.11–1.27)1.13 (1.04–1.23)1.17 (1.11–1.24)
 SRS1.16 (1.08–1.26)1.17 (1.09–1.25)1.05 (0.95–1.16)1.13 (1.06–1.19)
 SDS1.13 (0.95–1.33)1.14 (0.99–1.32)1.34 (1.17–1.57)1.26 (1.13–1.41)
  • * Cardiac death, MI, revascularization.

  • CI = confidence interval; MI = myocardial infarction.