PT - JOURNAL ARTICLE AU - Kletting, Peter AU - Thieme, Anne AU - Eberhardt, Nina AU - Rinscheid, Andreas AU - D’Alessandria, Calogero AU - Allmann, Jakob AU - Wester, Hans-Jürgen AU - Tauber, Robert AU - Beer, Ambros J. AU - Glatting, Gerhard AU - Eiber, Matthias TI - Modeling and Predicting Tumor Response in Radioligand Therapy AID - 10.2967/jnumed.118.210377 DP - 2019 Jan 01 TA - Journal of Nuclear Medicine PG - 65--70 VI - 60 IP - 1 4099 - http://jnm.snmjournals.org/content/60/1/65.short 4100 - http://jnm.snmjournals.org/content/60/1/65.full SO - J Nucl Med2019 Jan 01; 60 AB - The aim of this work was to develop a theranostic method that allows prediction of prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA)–positive tumor volume after radioligand therapy (RLT) based on a pretherapeutic PET/CT measurement and physiologically based pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic (PBPK/PD) modeling at the example of RLT using 177Lu-labeled PSMA for imaging and therapy (PSMA I&T). Methods: A recently developed PBPK model for 177Lu-PSMA I&T RLT was extended to account for tumor (exponential) growth and reduction due to irradiation (linear quadratic model). Data from 13 patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer were retrospectively analyzed. Pharmacokinetic/pharmacodynamic parameters were simultaneously fitted in a Bayesian framework to PET/CT activity concentrations, planar scintigraphy data, and tumor volumes before and after (6 wk) therapy. The method was validated using the leave-one-out Jackknife method. The tumor volume after therapy was predicted on the basis of pretherapy PET/CT imaging and PBPK/PD modeling. Results: The relative deviation of the predicted and measured tumor volume for PSMA-positive tumor cells (6 wk after therapy) was 1% ± 40%, excluding 1 patient (prostate-specific antigen–negative) from the population. The radiosensitivity for the prostate-specific antigen–positive patients was determined to be 0.0172 ± 0.0084 Gy−1. Conclusion: To our knowledge, the proposed method is the first attempt to solely use PET/CT and modeling methods to predict the PSMA-positive tumor volume after RLT. Internal validation shows that this is feasible with an acceptable accuracy. Improvement of the method and external validation of the model is ongoing.