Abstract
The transition from stable to progressive disease is unpredictable in patients with biochemical evidence of medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC). Calcitonin and carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) doubling times are currently the most reliable markers for progression, but for accurate determination, serial measurements, which need time, are required. We compared 18F-FDG PET and 18F-dihydroxyphenylanaline (18F-DOPA) PET with biochemical parameters and survival to assess whether these imaging modalities could be of value in detecting progressive disease. Methods: We evaluated the outcome of 18F-FDG PET or 18F-DOPA PET with calcitonin and CEA doubling times in 47 MTC patients. A subgroup of patients was included in the whole metabolic burden (WBMTB) analysis, with determination of standardized uptake values and number of lesions. WBMTB of 18F-DOPA PET and 18F-FDG PET was compared with biochemical parameters. Furthermore, survival was compared with 18F-DOPA PET or 18F-FDG PET positivity. Results: Doubling times were available for 38 of 40 patients undergoing 18F-FDG PET. There was a significant correlation with 18F-FDG PET positivity. Doubling times were less than 24 mo in 77% (n = 10/13) of 18F-FDG PET–positive patients, whereas 88% (n = 22/25) of 18F-FDG PET–negative patients had doubling times greater than 24 mo (P < 0.001). Between doubling times and 18F-DOPA PET positivity, no significant correlation existed. 18F-DOPA PET detected significantly more lesions (75%, 56/75) than did 18F-FDG PET (47%, 35/75) in the 21 patients included in WBMTB analysis (P = 0.009). Calcitonin and CEA levels correlated significantly with WBMTB on 18F-DOPA PET, but doubling times did not. 18F-FDG PET positivity was a more important indicator for poor survival in patients for whom both scans were obtained. Conclusion: 18F-FDG PET is superior in detecting patients with biochemical progressive disease and identifying patients with poor survival. Although 18F-DOPA PET has less prognostic value, it can more accurately assess the extent of the disease in patients with residual MTC. Hence, both scans are informative about tumor localization and behavior. On the basis of these results, we designed a clinical flow diagram for general practice in detecting recurrent MTC.
Medullary thyroid carcinoma (MTC) accounts for about 4% of all thyroid cancers. The overall 10-y survival ranges between 40% and 80% and has not increased substantially in the past few decades (1–3). Unfortunately, even in MTC that is clinically confined to the neck, many patients already have metastatic disease and are beyond cure even by surgery. Furthermore, though the overall survival in patients with only biochemical evidence of residual MTC is good, a number of patients will develop progressive and symptomatic disease (4). Early identification of these patients is clinically relevant because appropriate therapeutic interventions may delay symptomatic deterioration. However, the transition from a stable status to a progressive disease course is unpredictable, and it is hard to identify patients who may benefit from early intervention.
Calcitonin is a specific tumor marker for MTC; carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) is less specific but can also be useful (5). Currently, short calcitonin and CEA doubling times are considered the best available indicators to assess progressive disease, MTC recurrence, and cancer mortality (6,7). Calcitonin and CEA levels can fluctuate, however, and determination of the doubling times needs serial measurement for 12–24 mo and is therefore time-consuming.
Most imaging techniques have a moderate sensitivity in detecting MTC (8). PET using the radioactive tracers 18F-FDG and more recently 18F-dihydroxyphenylanaline (18F-DOPA) are available for the staging and follow-up of MTC (9–15). Some studies have suggested that 18F-FDG PET might be more sensitive in patients with a short calcitonin doubling time (16,17). Furthermore, a higher metabolic activity, expressed as the maximum standardized uptake value (SUV), on 18F-FDG PET, compared with the maximum SUV on 18F-DOPA PET, might be related to a more aggressive tumor type (18). PET also enables determination of the total tumor load expressed as the whole-body metabolic burden (WBMTB), reflecting metabolic tumor activity, as was shown in a recent study of 18F-DOPA PET in carcinoid patients (19).
In this retrospective study of patients with biochemical evidence of MTC, our aim was to assess the ability of 18F-FDG PET and 18F-DOPA PET to discriminate between patients with progressive disease and patients with stable disease.
MATERIALS AND METHODS
Patients
We analyzed all patients with histologically proven MTC seen at the Department of Endocrinology for follow-up and who had undergone 18F-FDG PET or 18F-DOPA PET for detection of residual or metastatic MTC between 2002 and 2010. We excluded patients with undetectable calcitonin levels, patients with concurrent systemic treatment at the time of 18F-FDG PET or 18F-DOPA PET, and patients with less than 2 calcitonin or CEA values at the time of 18F-FDG PET or 18F-DOPA PET. For WBMTB analysis, we excluded patients with more than 6 mo between 18F-FDG PET and 18F-DOPA PET. Several patients (n = 21) were also described in a previous study assessing the value of 18F-DOPA PET in patients with MTC (16). That study was approved by the local medical ethics committee, and the patients gave written informed consent to participate in it. After completion of that study, PET was performed as part of standard patient care; therefore, in concordance with national law no further Institutional Board Review approval was required.
We initially analyzed 47 MTC patients (Fig. 1). In group A, composed of 40 patients, 18F-FDG PET was performed, and we compared outcome with doubling times (n = 38) and survival (n = 37). For the 38 patients comprising group B, 18F-DOPA PET was performed, and we compared outcome with biochemical parameters (n = 36) and survival (n = 34). Thirty-one patients had undergone both scans, and in 24 patients these scans were performed within 6 mo of each other. We performed WBMTB and survival analysis in, respectively, 21 and 22 patients (group C), of which 14 and 15 patients, respectively, were also included in the previous study (16). The number of patients participating in each analysis and reasons for exclusion are shown in Figure 1. Patient characteristics of the different groups are shown in Table 1.
18F-DOPA PET, 18F-FDG PET, and Image Analysis
18F-FDG and 18F-DOPA were locally produced as described previously (20). All patients were studied after a 6-h fasting period, were allowed to continue all medication, and were encouraged to drink water. For 18F-FDG PET, data acquisition started 60 or 90 min after injection of 18F-FDG intravenously (5 MBq/kg; range, 250–824 MBq). For 18F-DOPA PET, whole-body 2-dimensional PET images were acquired 60 min after the intravenous administration of a standard dose of 18F-DOPA (200 MBq; range, 70–220 MBq). To reduce tracer decarboxylation and subsequent renal clearance and thereby increase tracer uptake in tumor cells, patients received carbidopa (2 mg/kg; maximum, 150 mg) orally as pretreatment 1 h before the 18F-DOPA injection.
18F-FDG PET and 18F-DOPA PET images were interpreted by 2 dedicated nuclear medicine specialists as part of routine patient care and were subsequently independently reviewed. We calculated the WBMTB, defined as the sum of the metabolic burden of each tumor lesion in the PET image, for both PET methods. We defined metabolic burden as mean SUV × volume of tumor lesion obtained from the PET image using a volume of interest that was enclosed by a 40% isodensity contour (Fig. 2) (21,22). We categorized patients according to differences in WBMTB uptake on paired 18F-FDG and 18F-DOPA PET scans: more than 10% WBMTB on 18F-FDG PET, more than 10% WBMTB on 18F-DOPA PET, equal uptake (less than 10% difference), or no uptake on both scans.
Biochemical Analysis
Calcitonin was determined using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (Biomerica) with a reference value of 0.3–12 ng/L. CEA levels were measured using a chemiluminescent microparticle immunoassay (Abbott Laboratories) with a reference value of 0.5–5.0 μg/L.
Calcitonin and CEA Serum Levels and Doubling Times
For calculating the calcitonin and CEA doubling time, we used in principle 4 values (with a minimum of 2), obtained within a median of 11 mo (range, 2–47 mo) around 18F-FDG PET and 18F-DOPA PET. We used the average of these values for further analysis. We calculated exponential growth curves aB, using standard linear regression of the serum levels on time and doubling times as ln(2)/B. To identify patients with progressive disease, we defined biochemical progressive disease as a calcitonin or CEA doubling time of less than 24 mo in concordance with the study of Giraudet et al. (6).
Follow-up
Follow-up was performed according to current guidelines (23), consisting of regular determination of calcitonin and CEA. If there was an elevation in one of these tumor markers, further evaluation was performed with morphologic or functional imaging. Depending on the outcome of imaging, the therapeutic strategy was determined.
Statistical Analysis
For statistical analysis, we used PASW statistics 18 (SPSS Ltd.). We performed a χ2 test for comparison of PET outcome and doubling times. Correlation between WBMTB of 18F-FDG PET and 18F-DOPA PET and calcitonin or CEA levels and doubling times was calculated with a Spearman r test. To determine the optimal calcitonin cutoff level for 18F-FDG PET and 18F-DOPA PET, we calculated the maximum value of sensitivity multiplied by specificity, as derived from receiver-operating-characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. We performed a χ2 test for comparison of uptake and WBMTB category with doubling times or a Fisher exact test when the frequency of cells with an expected value of 5 was higher than 20%. For comparison of the number of detected lesions between 18F-FDG PET and 18F-DOPA PET, a McNemar test was used. For survival analysis, we used the Kaplan–Meier method and the log-rank test for comparison. The significance level was 0.05 (2-sided).
RESULTS
Patients
18F-FDG PET and Biochemical Parameters (Group A).
We analyzed 38 patients for outcome of 18F-FDG PET and calcitonin or CEA levels and doubling times. 18F-FDG PET was positive in 13 patients (34%) (Table 2). In 18F-FDG PET–positive patients, levels of calcitonin and CEA were significantly higher and more patients had calcitonin and CEA doubling times less than 24 mo. Positive and negative predictive values for biochemical progressive disease were 77% and 88%, respectively, in 18F-FDG PET–positive and –negative patients. In ROC curve analysis, we found an optimal calcitonin cutoff of 874 ng/L for PET positivity, with a sensitivity of 69% and a specificity of 70% for the detection of tumor lesions.
18F-DOPA PET and Biochemical Parameters (Group B).
Of the 36 patients analyzed for the outcome of 18F-DOPA PET and biochemical parameters, 18F-DOPA PET was positive in 16 (44%) (Table 3). Calcitonin and CEA levels differed significantly between 18F-DOPA PET–positive and –negative patients, but there was no significant difference in doubling times. The positive and negative predictive values for progressive disease were 56% and 75%, respectively, in 18F-DOPA PET–positive and –negative patients. In ROC curve analysis, we found a calcitonin cutoff of 825 ng/L to be optimal for PET positivity, with a sensitivity and specificity of 88% and 80%, respectively, for the detection of tumor lesions.
WMBTB Results of 18F-FDG PET and 18F-DOPA PET (Group C).
For the 21 patients with both 18F-FDG PET and 18F-DOPA PET who were included in WBMTB analysis, the results for both scans were negative in 11 patients. Of the remaining 10 patients, 4 had higher WBMTB on 18F-FDG PET, another 4 had higher WBMTB on 18F-DOPA PET, and 2 had equal WBMTBs (Table 4). The total number of lesions found was 75, and 18F-DOPA PET detected significantly more lesions than 18F-FDG PET (56 vs. 35) (P = 0.009). In PET-positive patients, WBMTB on 18F-DOPA PET was significantly correlated with calcitonin levels (r = 0.82) (P = 0.013) and CEA levels (r = 0.88) (P = 0.004) but not with doubling times. There was no significant correlation between WBMTB of 18F-FDG PET and calcitonin and CEA levels or doubling times. Between the different WBMTB categories and calcitonin and CEA doubling times, no significant relation was found.
Treatment Based on PET
Eight patients underwent reoperation because of recurrent disease. In 5 patients, PET showed local disease and contributed to the decision for surgery. 18F-FDG PET was performed in 4 and positive in 2. 18F-DOPA PET was performed in 4 and positive in 3. All PET lesions were confirmed on histologic examination. In the other 3 patients, PET was negative, and surgery was performed because of positive conventional imaging findings or palpable abnormalities. All patients who underwent reoperation had no clinical progression during follow-up (range, 6.6–106 mo). Seven patients received targeted treatment with tyrosine kinase inhibitors. 18F-FDG PET was performed in 6 patients, and all showed metastatic disease; 18F-DOPA PET was performed in 5 and showed metastatic disease in 4. Three patients developed stable disease. The other 27 patients did not receive surgical or systemic treatment during follow-up.
Survival and PET Outcome
In the 42 patients for whom follow-up data were available, median follow-up was 63.8 mo (range, 2.3–114 mo). During follow-up, 11 patients died: 7 because of progressive MTC, 3 because of other causes (prostate cancer, esophageal cancer, and sepsis due to perforated appendicitis), and 1 for whom the reason of death was unknown. In 37 patients with 18F-FDG PET and sufficient follow-up, survival was significantly lower in 18F-FDG PET–positive patients than in 18F-FDG PET–negative patients (P < 0.001) (Fig. 3A). The same was true for 18F-DOPA PET–positive, compared with –negative, patients (n = 34) (P = 0.019) (Fig. 3B). However, in univariate analysis of patients who had undergone both 18F-FDG PET and 18F-DOPA PET (n = 22), the survival in patients with a positive 18F-FDG PET result was lower and independent of 18F-DOPA PET outcome, whereas survival in 18F-DOPA PET–positive patients was dependent on 18F-FDG PET outcome (P = 0.018) (Fig. 3C). Figure 4 shows a patient with biochemical progressive disease and uptake on both scans.
DISCUSSION
In this study, 18F-FDG PET was superior to 18F-DOPA PET in identifying patients with progressive disease. Unlike 18F-DOPA PET positivity, 18F-FDG PET positivity correlated significantly with biochemical progressive disease. Furthermore, we showed that 18F-FDG PET– and 18F-DOPA PET–positive patients had a significantly decreased survival. However, univariate analysis in patients for whom both scans were obtained showed that 18F-FDG PET positivity most influenced survival. WBMTB analysis showed that metabolic activity on 18F-DOPA PET correlated significantly with calcitonin and CEA levels. Differences (>10%) in WBMTB on 18F-FDG PET and 18F-DOPA PET could not distinguish stable from progressive disease.
In a previous study of our institute focusing on detecting residual disease with both 18F-FDG PET and 18F-DOPA PET, we already described the superiority of 18F-FDG PET in 2 patients with progressive disease (16). This outcome is probably based on the fact that aggressive (dedifferentiated) disease has a higher glucose metabolism and consequently higher 18F-FDG uptake. This observation was also made by others but the described series are rather small (14–18). Bogsrud et al. showed a higher mortality in 18F-FDG PET–positive patients than in 18F-FDG PET–negative patients (24). However, survival data in patients with 18F-DOPA PET have not been described before. This study shows that progressive patients can be identified with both PET techniques, taking into account biochemical parameters and survival.
For 18F-FDG PET of patients with progressive MTC, not only have higher sensitivities been described but also increased tracer intensity. Marzola et al. included only patients with short doubling times (6–9 mo) and showed significantly higher maximum SUV on 18F-FDG PET versus 18F-DOPA PET, although patient- and lesion-based sensitivity of 18F-DOPA PET was higher (18). In our WBMTB analysis, we did not find a significant difference in doubling times between patients with a higher uptake on 18F-FDG PET and patients with a higher uptake on 18F-DOPA PET. This lack of significance could have been caused by the small number of patients with positive scan results in WBMTB analysis (n = 11) or the different doubling time cutoffs used for defining progressive disease.
Although the doubling times of calcitonin and CEA have thus far been the most reliable indicators of recurrence and progressive disease in MTC, cutoff values are still a matter of discussion. Meijer et al. showed a higher hazard ratio for recurrence for a calcitonin doubling time cutoff of 12 mo (hazard ratio, 5.33) than 24 mo (hazard ratio, 2.93) but warned about interpreting these cutoff values with caution (7). Moreover, that study focuses on disease recurrence and not progression in general. We based our 24-mo cutoff for doubling times on the results of the study by Giraudet et al., who compared doubling times with progression according to the Response Evaluation Criteria in Solid Tumors. They found progressive disease in 94% of patients with doubling times less than 25 mo, whereas 86% had stable disease when doubling times were more than 24 mo (6).
Our results show a significant correlation between WBMTB on 18F-DOPA PET and calcitonin and CEA levels, demonstrating that 18F-DOPA PET might be a good indicator of tumor load. Although 18F-FDG PET is better in distinguishing progressive disease, 18F-DOPA PET seems to be more important in assessing the extent of residual disease. In our WBMTB analysis, 18F-DOPA PET also detected more tumor lesions than did 18F-FDG PET. On the whole, 18F-DOPA PET is superior to 18F-FDG PET, with a higher patient-based sensitivity (64% vs. 48%, respectively [range, 38%–83% vs. 17%–64%, respectively]) and lesion-based sensitivity (72% vs. 52%%, respectively [range, 52%–94% vs. 28%–62%%, respectively]) (Table 5) (12–15,17,18). However, in line with the study of Kauhanen et al. and a recent review by Wong et al., combining both modalities increases sensitivity and is complementary (14,25).
Nevertheless, many patients with biochemical recurrent disease do not show lesions on currently available imaging modalities. Most of these patients have moderately elevated tumor markers and long doubling times, probably because of the nature of calcitonin-producing metastases (sclerotic, necrotic, or calcified) and their small size (26). A previous study at our center showed that MTC lesions are best detected on 18F-DOPA PET when calcitonin levels are above 500 ng/L, and ROC curve analysis in the current study found a cutoff value of 825 ng/L to be optimal in distinguishing 18F-DOPA PET–positive from –negative patients (16). This cutoff is also dependent on the resolution of the PET camera system, which with new developments becomes increasingly sensitive. Also, the combination of PET with CT increases the yield of these scans (27) and lowers the threshold for localization of tumor lesions.
The negative predictive value for biochemical progressive disease in our study was 88% for 18F-FDG PET and 75% for 18F-DOPA PET. However, there are still patients—both in our study (n = 3) and in other series (18)—who have rapidly increasing tumor markers but do not have positive functional imaging results. In these patients, there is still a need for other modalities for the detection of occult MTC. Yet, the first results for new tracers such as 68Ga-somatostatin analogs or 11C-methionine are not convincing (15,28,29).
On the basis of the results of this and previous studies, we recommend a combined approach for patients with recurrent MTC and increasing tumor markers (Fig. 5). Conventional imaging of the neck (ultrasound, MRI, or CT) to detect localized disease can be followed by 18F-FDG PET or PET/CT to identify progressive disease. In the case of a negative 18F-FDG PET result or the presence of only localized resectable disease (head and neck region), an 18F-DOPA PET or PET/CT scan is recommended, to exclude distant metastasis and support the decision for local surgery.
This study is limited by its retrospective character and the differences in 18F-FDG uptake time, which can result in differences in the mean SUV. Most of our patients who were included in the WBMTB analysis had an uptake time of 60 min (n = 16). Because the WBMTB for determination of tumor load depends not only on the mean SUV but also on tumor volume and number of lesions, we concluded that a slight difference in mean SUV does not significantly influence our results. Furthermore, there could be a selection bias in patients undergoing only 1 type of scan or both scans. However, no significant difference existed in patient characteristics (including doubling times) between these 2 groups (data not shown). Other limitations are the small study size, which is often the case with rare tumors, and the fact that not all PET lesions were histologically confirmed.
CONCLUSION
In MTC patients, 18F-FDG PET positivity seems to be associated with biochemical progressive disease and significantly affects survival. 18F-DOPA PET has a higher sensitivity than 18F-FDG PET, and WBMTB on 18F-DOPA PET can be related to the tumor load. Therefore, 18F-DOPA PET seems to be more important in assessing the extent of the disease in patients with residual disease whereas 18F-FDG PET can more accurately identify patients with progressive disease. Both scans may be used to guide therapeutic strategies in patients with recurrent MTC.
DISCLOSURE STATEMENT
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Acknowledgments
This work was supported by the UMCG’s Graduate School of Medical Sciences (GUIDE). No other potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported.
Footnotes
Published online Oct. 18, 2012.
- © 2012 by the Society of Nuclear Medicine and Molecular Imaging, Inc.
REFERENCES
- Received for publication April 16, 2012.
- Accepted for publication June 26, 2012.